Political Wonk, Charity Ronin & Oracle Hack

With all of the Buffoonery He allows, God must have a great sense of humor.

She is Aliiiiive!

Posted by Mike O on March 5, 2008

brideoffrankensteinlives005.jpg The Hildebeast lives on- ironically, probably thanks to the ‘Rush Limbaugh’ contingent in Texas Republican and independent conservatives.  (I was on board with that strategy for Republican voters switching weeks before Rush mentioned it; I helped run the caucus in my precinct).  The victory was worth far more headlines than delegates, however; thank the Democrat primary and caucus ‘undemocratic’ features for that.

All is good, and not simply because of crass desire to see the GOP retain the White House.  That does enter in, though; EITHER party having control of both houses and the presidency is always a disaster, as shown by the GOP recently and the Dems on several occasions before. 

Let’s get to the primary election impact first.  Hillary’s impressive popular vote win in Ohio and her pseudo-win in Texas (she’ll end up with less delegates due to the caucuses) makes her a political poker player with a weak hand but lots of outs, instead of no outs at all. 

She will be selling the valid point the Barack has not been able to win in the big states needed to win the General.  She also may be able to show at the end of this that she has more popular votes than Barack (she is essentially tied now).  She can try to bring Florida and/or Michigan back into play for ‘fairness’, even if it involves ‘do-over’ primaries.  If Florida and Michigan remain left out, she can also go to the super-delegates to argue that they need to help her make ‘adjustments’ to the ‘pledged’ delegate counts to compensate for the ‘disenfranchisement’ of those two states.  It could give some of the super-delegates the public talking points to go along, when what they’ll really be thinking about is the very private political blackmail/extorsion/bribery the Clintons are capable. She can cut a deal with John Edwards for his 26 delegates, outbidding Obama based on her superior deal-cutting experience (and under the table resources).  All of these will likely be employed, in some form or fashion, to give her a shot at an outright win, no matter how ugly.

Any and all of these outs depend on her to be within striking distance in ‘pledged’ delegates; certainly less than 100 short.  To accomplish that, she needs to keep chipping away at him, smiling motherly-fashion all the way.

With Hillary within striking distance and the decision not to be rendered for at least  seven more weeks, certain lines of political investigation will go on that could not have gone on in a straight Obama-McCain fight.  Those investigations involve internal Democrat aspects of the Chicago politics from which Barack sprang, currently centering around the corruption trial of his supporter and neighbor, Tony Rezko ().  And possibly, a little more scrutiny will be accorded interesting tidbits like this one:

Just after Barack was elected to the United States Senate, Michelle received a large pay increase—from $121,910 in 2004 to $316,962 in 2005. “Mrs. Obama is extremely overpaid,” one citizen wrote in a letter to the editor of the Tribune, after the paper published a story questioning the timing of the award.

The only way to get to the bottom of such is from inside the Democrat machinery; Hillery can do that, John McCain cannot.  And Hillary will have to for enough leverage to carry the day.  The back-alley knife fighters that work in her shadow campaign will be very busy.

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2 Responses to “She is Aliiiiive!”

  1. They want an electoral mulligan. The big complaint I keep hearing it that the people of FL and MI deserve to have their voices heard. Damn straight they do AND they actually have. The democratic voters in both those states elected people to represent their interests who saw fit to ignore the rules of the national nominating process. The voters of FL and MI should have their say. They did and will. The next time they vote they ought to vote for people other than the knuckleheads that decided to disenfranchise them. 48 out of 50 states managed to get it right.

  2. Mike O said

    That same argument applies directly to Kathleen Harris in Florida in 2000, does it not? But in her case, she didn’t ignore rules (in that case, actual laws); she abided by them. The Dems weren’t interested in that argument then; why should they be now?

    Other reasons for a ‘do-over’? The Dems will need to do well in Florida to win; to tick of their voters over this might not be a good idea. Also, it is unlikely that either Hillary or Obama can actually get the ‘magic 2,025’ delegate count that would represent a true ‘majority’ without them. They would end up being selected as the nominee by a ‘plurality’.

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